Our polling averages, which include data from The New York Times and FiveThirtyEight, are comprehensive and carefully curated to provide the most accurate and up-to-date information. These averages take into account factors such as poll recency, sample size, voter representation, and pollster credibility. We also prioritize pollsters with a proven track record of accuracy in recent elections, membership in professional polling organizations, and the use of probability-based sampling.
These elements are used to determine how much weight each poll carries in the average, ensuring that the final results are reliable and reflective of the current political landscape. Pollsters that meet at least two of the three criteria are classified as “select pollsters,” as long as they are working with nonpartisan sponsors. Our methodology is transparent and detailed, providing insight into how the averages are calculated and maintained.
In addition to incorporating polls from reputable sources like The New York Times and FiveThirtyEight, we also include data from The Times’ own national and state polls conducted in partnership with Siena College. These polls contribute to the overall averages and offer valuable insights into voter sentiment at both the national and state levels.
Overall, our polling averages are a valuable resource for anyone looking to stay informed about current political trends and dynamics. By utilizing data from credible sources and applying a rigorous methodology, we strive to provide accurate and reliable information for our readers.
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