Israel is preparing to launch a major attack on Lebanon following a deadly rocket strike in the Israeli-occupied Golan Heights, which killed 12 children and young people. While Israel blames Hezbollah for the attack, the group has denied responsibility. Despite tensions, analysts believe Israel is unlikely to trigger a full-scale war with Hezbollah.
The attack has led Israel to delay the evacuation of sick children from Gaza, leading to criticism from humanitarian organizations. However, Israel is using the incident to rally support for a strike on Lebanon.
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and military generals are at odds over the conflicts in Gaza and Lebanon. While Netanyahu aims to eradicate Hamas, generals believe this goal is unrealistic. Waging a war against Hezbollah is seen as an even greater challenge.
Hezbollah is expected to show restraint in response to an Israeli strike but may retaliate proportionately. The group’s strategy is closely tied to events in Gaza, and a ceasefire agreement with Israel is unlikely until a settlement is reached there. Both Hezbollah and Israel are likely to claim victory in any post-conflict scenario to maintain domestic support and deter future escalation.
Overall, the situation in the region remains tense, with the possibility of a major escalation between Israel and Hezbollah looming. However, efforts to de-escalate the situation and reach a ceasefire in Gaza are seen as crucial to preventing a further worsening of tensions.
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