A recent article on the situation in Libya warns of the potential consequences of allowing the country to become a mafia state. The author, Hafed Al-Ghwell, notes that the country’s self-assured ruling elites and changing policies in Western capitals have compromised Libya’s stability. He highlights the rise of General Khalifa Haftar, who has become a prominent figure in eastern Libya with the support of foreign countries like Russia and the UAE.
Al-Ghwell criticizes Western policies towards Libya, suggesting that the focus on exclusive bargains has only reinforced the country’s kleptocratic governance model. He outlines Haftar’s controversial background and his rise to power in the region, and raises concerns about the implications of supporting such figures with ties to criminal networks.
The article points out that Haftar’s control extends beyond Libya’s borders, with involvement in criminal activities like fuel and drug smuggling. It warns that the situation in Libya could deteriorate further, with the potential for a return to a personalistic rule reminiscent of the Gaddafi era.
Al-Ghwell emphasizes the need for a recalibration of Western policies towards Libya, calling for a focus on legitimate political institutions and respect for human rights. He warns that if Libya becomes a mafia state, the trend could spread to other countries in the region, especially the Sahel.
Overall, the article serves as a cautionary tale about the dangers of allowing Libya to descend into chaos and lawlessness, and calls for a more thoughtful and strategic approach from the international community to prevent further destabilization in the region.
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