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Will NC Republicans be able to keep their supermajority in the 2025 session?


Republicans in North Carolina face the prospect of losing their legislative supermajority if they are unable to secure key toss-up districts in the upcoming November election. A recent poll has shown a shift in support towards Democrats, with urban voters and independents moving away from the Republican Party. While the Senate appears to be in a safer position, the House is at risk of losing its supermajority.

The House gained its supermajority in 2023 when Rep. Tricia Cotham switched parties, but her district in Mecklenburg County remains a wildcard. Republicans must win at least two of the five toss-up districts in order to retain their supermajority in the Senate. Key races to watch include suburban districts around Raleigh and outside Charlotte.

In the 2022 midterm elections, Republicans won several Democratic-leaning seats, allowing them to gain their supermajority. However, the upcoming election is expected to be closely contested, with both parties facing challenges in districts that lean towards the opposing party. If Democrats are able to break at least one of the Republican supermajorities, it could result in less productivity in Raleigh.

Overall, the outcome of the November election will be crucial in determining the future balance of power in the North Carolina legislature. Various factors, including redistricting and candidate quality, will play a role in the final results. Voters can expect a closely fought battle between Republicans and Democrats for control of the state legislature.

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Photo credit www.carolinajournal.com

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