This summer, Americans awaited statements from Taylor Swift endorsing Kamala Harris and predictions by historian Allan Lichtman about the election outcome. Lichtman, known for accurate predictions, uses 13 “keys” to forecast election results. He predicted Harris would defeat Trump, sparking widespread coverage. Americans are drawn to political predictions for entertainment and instant gratification. Lichtman’s work has faced criticism over the years, but he has remained popular, predicting a win for Harris in the fall based on his keys. He believes that Democrats shouldn’t have dropped Biden, sacrificing key advantages in the election. Despite recent events like the Harris-Trump debate and an assassination attempt, Lichtman maintains that these changes do not affect his prediction. Alongside his political work, Lichtman is a successful runner and his wife is involved in climate change advocacy. The family’s interest in politics is deep-rooted, with Lichtman hosting a show with his son on the topic. Overall, Lichtman suggests that Americans are interested in political predictions because they are fun, interesting, and still hold an air of uncertainty even after four decades of experience in the field.
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