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Kamala Harris’ Prospects in Swing State North Carolina: Latest Poll Results

Battle for North Carolina: A Tight Race Between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump

As the 2024 presidential election approaches, North Carolina emerges as a pivotal battleground in the race, with Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump locked in a tie, according to two recent polls. Both leading candidates scored 48% among registered voters in surveys by CNN/SSRS and Meredith Poll conducted between September 17 and 25.

Historically, North Carolina has favored Trump, who clinched the state—and its 16 electoral votes—in both 2016 and 2020. However, recent polls suggest Harris may be breaking this trend, particularly as controversies surrounding the GOP’s gubernatorial candidate, Mark Robinson, may sway public opinion in her favor. Robinson has faced backlash over past racist and sexist social media posts, an issue Harris’s campaign is using to link Trump with the embattled candidate.

Political analysts note the significance of North Carolina in Trump’s Electoral College strategy. Meredith College’s Poll Director David McLennan emphasized that a Trump victory hinges on winning the state, while Harris’s success could significantly bolster her presidential prospects. In fact, a Fox News poll indicated a shift in momentum, with Harris reportedly leading by 2% in late September—a reversal from Trump’s slight edge in August.

Nate Silver’s election forecasts highlight North Carolina as a potential tipping point state, with an 11% chance of influencing the election outcome, especially as both candidates intensify their campaign efforts in the region. Meanwhile, Trump’s camp remains optimistic, asserting their strong position despite the unfolding turmoil surrounding Robinson.

As election day nears, both campaigns are ramping up their outreach, aiming to mobilize supporters in this crucial state. With time running out, the strategies deployed in North Carolina may very well play a determining role in the overall election results.

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